Mind the (generation) gap:
Key questions when planning
for the future shopper landscape

By: Anusha Couttigane and Tiffany Hogan

It’s no surprise to anyone in retail that shoppers are changing and have been for some time. Ever since the rise of the personal computer, shoppers have been part of a continuous flow of increasingly personalized technology. Today’s older shoppers have seen technology evolve from LPs to MP3s, while the youngest shoppers (Centennials, born starting in 1997) have never known a world without Spotify. In the last 10 years alone, they have witnessed the rise of social media, a platform now considered essential for any brand to go to market.

The storyline in Europe is one of an aging population, with more than one-third of the continent on track to be 65 or older by 2080. But, in the nearer term, according to the Kantar Futures Global Monitor survey, more than one-third of the global population will consist of Centennials by 2025 (Figure 1).

With this bifurcated shopper future, brands will find it increasingly important to look at similarities rather than differences in shopper behavior and attitudes. Kantar Futures Global Monitor data reveals several commonalities that will inform four key trends driving the future retail landscape.

Figure 1. The Population Is Shifting in More Ways Than One

Source: Eurostat, Kantar Futures Global Monitor 2017

The Rise of Ethical Shoppers

While often considered a trend led by younger generations, conscious consumerism is a sentiment shared across generational lines. In fact, older shoppers are the most likely to be strong advocates of reuse and recycling over younger cohorts (Figure 2).

As such, sustainability is a hot topic already, with 5p grocery bag legislation and retailers like H&M pledging to “close the fashion loop” by recycling used clothing in stores. But shoppers will demand more than £5 coupons and flashy marketing campaigns in the future. We are seeing this trend shift from a marketing platform to a total transformation in the business model as shoppers demand more transparency from brands and retailers. Iceland Foods provides a prime example of the drastic changes we expect to see in retail. It has already pledged to rid its private label products of plastic by 2023, showing environmentally conscious shoppers its commitment while putting pressure on other brands to do the same (Figure 3).

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Figure 3. The New Normal: Ethical Values and Sustainability

Figure 2. Shoppers Are Thinking About Their Carbon Footprint

Source: Kantar Futures Global Monitor 2017

The Demand for Personalization and Brand Authenticity

Shoppers will increasingly demand transparency and authenticity from brands. Over half of all consumers say being able to personalize a brand or product to fit their needs is essential (Figure 4).

This authenticity is something that shoppers think is more prevalent in smaller, niche, or “challenger” brands. Instead of trying to be everything to everyone, these brands, which have experienced more growth recently at the expense of large multinationals, target a specific shopper with a USP: Think Graze boxes versus Walkers or Zara versus Debenhams.

This desire for authenticity is causing the retail industry to react with a slew of new business models developed to target specific shoppers (Figure 5). Subscription services and pop-ups are just the beginning of the retail model evolution with shoppers at the core.

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Figure 5. New Business Models to Adapt to New Shopper Habits

Figure 4. The Personalization Imperative

Source: Kantar Futures Streetscapers

The ‘Servicization’ of Retail

The rampant increase in services at stores will continue as shoppers demand more from retailers. Brands are now in hot competition with more than just their direct rivals for shoppers’ share of wallet as shoppers increasingly prioritize experiences over things (Figure 6).

Services will continue to increase at retail for two main reasons. First, services will help retailers and brands provide the personalized solutions that shoppers are demanding, creating a full-service solution rather than one-off product purchases. Second, providing services will help retailers regain sales dollars as shoppers shift toward more experiential retailing.

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Figure 6. Retail Services to Grow as Shoppers Expect More From Stores

The Necessity for More Creative Brand and Retail Partnerships

As shoppers demand more from retail, brands will be hard-pressed to provide the right solutions for tomorrow’s shoppers with their current set of tools. They will need to develop, acquire, and, in many cases, find unlikely partners to serve shoppers more creatively. We have already seen some of these “strange bedfellow” partnerships, with Next opening a concession inside Tesco and Persil partnering with on-demand laundry app service Zipjet to foster awareness in new shopping channels (Figure 7).

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Figure 7. Retailers Forming Unlikely Partnerships to Meet Demands of Modern Shoppers

Kantar Consulting Point of View

These trends are really the filters that future shoppers will use, underpinned by the questions they will ask themselves before deciding between brands: “How does buying this brand impact the environment?” “Does this brand resonate with me? Can it provide solutions tailor-made for me?” “Will I have a better experience with this retailer or brand?”

Just as no one shopper is the same or seeking the same solution, neither should brands be tied exclusively to mass-audience initiatives. The strategies that brands and retailers employ to target these shoppers should be just as varied. Here are some key questions brands should be asking themselves as they think about future shopper strategies:

  • Who will you sell to? With the European population in flux and the future of immigration uncertain, how will your audience change culturally, geographically, and attitudinally?
  • What will you sell? Think about your product portfolio in relation to changing shopper needs. How can you evolve your current product assortment with new shoppers in mind?
  • Where will you sell it? What will the channels of the future be? Ten years ago, four of the top seven social media platforms did not even exist. Today, social media is an essential marketing channel and quickly becoming transactional. How will your channel portfolio evolve as shoppers become increasingly mobile-first?
  • What if voice becomes the new normal? What does merchandising look like without a visual product? How will your negotiations and strategies change when an algorithm is involved?
  • When and how will you connect with shoppers? Retail is expanding beyond the realms of stores and even online. How will you connect with shoppers when they are spending more time on the go or online?
  • Will shoppers even be buying? What role will you play in the sharing economy? Is your product ripe to participate directly in this economy, as many fashion players do, or can you partner with services like Uber and Airbnb as they grow?
  • How will your responsibilities change? As shoppers demand more transparency and clarity, how will you respond? What industry regulations will affect where and how you can sell across borders?

Answering these questions will help you anticipate the disruptions ahead and plan for a shopper-focused future.

 

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